Bitcoin bounces off $30K amid ‘possibility’ of exit to mid-$40K range

A successful Wyckoff culmination could see BTC price action target levels north of $40,000 again, one analysts says.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose from a fresh $30,000 support challenge on June 27, continuing uncertain ranging which has worried traders.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp).

Bitcoin avoids sub-$30,000 “nuke”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting highs of $33,445 on Bitstamp Sunday.

Saturday saw the pair drop back to $30,070, ultimately averting another dip below significant psychological support after last week’s volatility.

This was not enough to buoy sentiment among traders, however, as many already believed the local BTC price bottom was not yet in.

Can’t we just all agree to dump #BTC and nuke it to $26k over the weekend to start on monday the next bull run with a V-shape recovery ?— Crypto_Ed_NL (@Crypto_Ed_NL) June 25, 2021

For analyst Rekt Capital, the prospect of Bitcoin losing its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), currently at $33,500, was cause for concern for bulls.

“The BTC recovery is promising but the 50 WEMA hasn’t yet been reclaimed as support,” he told Twitter followers after Sunday’s move higher.

“Weekly Close above ~$33500 would be enough to save the 50 WEMA as a support.” 

At the time of writing, BTC/USD traded at around $32,400, leaving a fair amount of ground to cover to clinch a more optimistic start to the coming week.

Rekt Capital added that using Wyckoff analysis, Bitcoin could still bounce by $10,000 to end in the mid-$40,000 range if a current wedge holds without a breakdown.

BTC/USD Wyckoff distribution chart.

“Volatile but trending up”

As ever, longer-term outlooks from seasoned market participants showed a different world from the fraught intraday price activity. 

Among the sources of feel-good analysis at the weekend was PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow price models.

“Bitcoin: short term volatile, long term trending up,” he summarized alongside a comparative chart of Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average (WMA) and realized cap.

BTC/USD, 200WMA and realized cap chart.

As Cointelegraph reported, the 200 WMA is a principal “line in the sand” that spot price has never crossed. It continues to increase each month despite recent losses.

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